Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 1.635160 1.886975 2.158975 2.473906 2.827767 3.212337 3.661142
2024-10-27 1.247632 1.596604 2.007018 2.522040 3.147482 3.878638 4.793972
2024-11-03 0.979819 1.375892 1.878134 2.553807 3.430001 4.517924 5.959591
2024-11-10 0.780719 1.193299 1.753195 2.554126 3.653397 5.089947 7.086180
2024-11-17 0.622934 1.030802 1.620144 2.511513 3.798411 5.557366 8.104133
2024-11-24 0.501414 0.894512 1.496857 2.455815 3.905179 5.967153 9.062760
2024-12-01 0.423205 0.808751 1.431744 2.469899 4.103320 6.509228 10.235088
2024-12-08 0.354504 0.724568 1.354040 2.449618 4.239791 6.963057 11.302705
2024-12-15 0.313135 0.679838 1.332711 2.513195 4.506338 7.623466 12.713022
2024-12-22 0.270119 0.623484 1.282110 2.518922 4.675372 8.139870 13.930851
2024-12-29 0.248280 0.604304 1.294509 2.632916 5.030360 8.969327 15.682385
2025-01-05 0.225800 0.579433 1.292164 2.718322 5.340642 9.742909 17.385945
2025-01-12 0.192986 0.527175 1.232064 2.694729 5.466046 10.233879 18.686884
2025-01-19 0.172326 0.498521 1.215568 2.752806 5.744114 11.002882 20.499086
2025-01-26 0.152535 0.467762 1.190127 2.789921 5.985955 11.724897 22.275214
2025-02-02 0.132819 0.432702 1.149896 2.791551 6.159246 12.335767 23.894087
2025-02-09 0.112910 0.392246 1.090957 2.746104 6.235299 12.774493 25.234309
2025-02-16 0.095237 0.353397 1.029221 2.686184 6.275115 13.146170 26.472031
2025-02-23 0.084033 0.330721 1.002993 2.701516 6.467743 13.811604 28.271548
2025-03-02 0.072645 0.304326 0.962916 2.679652 6.579381 14.327641 29.820860
2025-03-09 0.066498 0.293483 0.961627 2.748370 6.887613 15.237380 32.141585
2025-03-16 0.058697 0.274731 0.935872 2.754567 7.059621 15.888752 34.005849
2025-03-23 0.055692 0.272635 0.956404 2.877694 7.499302 17.094760 36.981408